Allianz, a globally recognized insurance provider with millions of customers and over 159,000 employees, has released a report that warns of an impending crash landing for the US economy. While the US economy initially picked up pace in early 2023, Allianz analysts predict a rapid deterioration in the economic momentum during the second half of the year. Negative confidence effects resulting from the near-death experience in the US banking sector and the unresolved energy situation in Europe will likely shape the rest of the year.
The report notes that the slowdown in housing, manufacturing, and construction will be exacerbated by interest rate hikes, which will increase borrowing costs and dampen investment. Allianz's analysts predict a sizable recession, a "hard landing," at the end of the year due to increasingly entrenched negative confidence effects, exacerbated by the banking crisis. The recent failures of major US banks, such as Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, have raised concerns about the health of the US economy.
To prevent a systemic crisis, the Federal Reserve and the Treasury have taken steps such as providing liquidity to the banking system, creating a new lending facility to offer short-term loans to banks, and insuring all deposits of both banks. However, Allianz is not the only organization warning of an impending economic crash in the US. Prominent economist David Rosenberg and billionaire Barry Sternlicht have both predicted a recession and hard landing for the US economy. Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, has also warned of a crash landing in the aftermath of the banking crisis.
The situation demands close monitoring, and action must be taken to prevent a systemic crisis. While there are signs of recovery, negative confidence effects from the banking crisis and the unresolved energy situation in Europe are likely to impact the US economy throughout the year. The warnings from Allianz and other organizations should not be taken lightly, and it is crucial to remain vigilant and take necessary measures to protect the economy.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this section is for informational purposes only, doesn't represent any investment advice or FameEX's official view.