News/FameEX Weekly Market Trend | August 22, 2025

FameEX Weekly Market Trend | August 22, 2025

2025-08-22 14:41:07

1. Core Market Overview

1) BTC Spot Performance

Price Range: [ 112,015.67 ] USD - [ 119,616.82 ] USD

Weekly Volatility: [6.35]%

(Calculation Formula: (High − Low) / Low × 100%)

Key Driving Factors:

Primary Factor: [Policy Events / Macro Data]

Secondary Factor: [On-chain Activity / Market Sentiment]

2) Central Bank Policy Updates

Date	Institution	Key Statement Summary
August 15	Federal Reserve	Musalem: A 50bp rate cut does not align with the current economic conditions or data. The tariff impact on inflation is expected to fade within 6 to 9 months, though it could last longer. The labor market is at full employment but faces downside risks. [Rate Cut Path / Inflation Outlook / Economic Forecast]
August 16	Federal Reserve	Daly: Waiting for more data; there may be fewer rate cuts, or there may be more. He believed that two rate cuts this year are still a solid projection, seeing no need for a sharp rate cut next month. Goolsbee: The latest PPI and CPI inflation data are concerning. If signs emerge in September or later this fall that the economy is not stuck in an inflationary spiral, then a rate cut would be possible. [Rate Cut Path / Economic Forecast]
August 21	Federal Reserve	Meeting Minutes: Stablecoins may increase demand for U.S. Treasuries. Credit markets are generally stable. The economic slowdown is driven by weaker consumption growth and a decline in residential investment. This meeting reflected concerns among participants about vulnerabilities in the U.S. Treasury market. Several participants noted that current interest rates are not far from the neutral level, and the vast majority of officials agreed that holding steady was appropriate. Almost all participants at the Fed’s July meeting viewed maintaining the benchmark rate in the 4.25%–4.50% range as suitable. Some participants stated that waiting until the full impact of tariffs on inflation becomes clear before adjusting monetary policy is neither feasible nor appropriate. Fed staff lowered their inflation forecasts from the June meeting, but still expected tariffs to drive prices higher. Most members judged inflation risks to outweigh employment risks. [Rate Cut Path / Inflation Outlook / Economic Forecast]
August 22	Federal Reserve	Hammack: He did not support a September rate cut at the time, noting that existing data were insufficient to warrant easing. Goolsbee: The latest inflation data are not favorable. Schmid: Inflation risks outweigh employment risks. The current policy stance is appropriate. Bostic: He still expected one rate cut this year and noted that the labor market trajectory is concerning. Waller: He called for embracing payment innovations driven by AI and stablecoins. Collins: A rate cut may be appropriate in the short term if the labor market outlook worsens; cannot wait until inflation becomes fully clear before considering easing. [Rate Cut Path / Inflation Outlook]
August 20	European Central Bank	President Lagarde: Although the recent agreement with the United States has reduced some uncertainties, eurozone economic growth may slow this quarter, while global trade remains uncertain. [Monetary Policy Stance / Economic Outlook]
August 21	European Central Bank	President Lagarde: He said ECB staff would incorporate the impact of the EU–U.S. trade agreement into the September projections, with economic growth expected to slow in the third quarter. She noted that uncertainty had not been fully eliminated. [Economic Outlook]
Policy Impact Assessment:		From recent remarks by Federal Reserve officials, a generally cautious, wait-and-see stance is evident, while the likelihood of a rate cut in September has diminished.

Recently, the Fed has leaned toward a hawkish stance on rate cuts, signaling a pause in rate cuts. The ECB remains focused on financial stability, with crypto asset regulation turning stricter.

3) Other Key Information

According to Reuters, China is considering allowing the use of a yuan-backed stablecoin for the first time to promote the internationalization of the renminbi. Multiple sources revealed that Chinese tech giants have proposed issuing a stablecoin pegged to offshore yuan in Hong Kong.

According to Decrypt, the U.S. FBI has issued an urgent warning that fraudsters posing as law firms and government employees are targeting cryptocurrency scam victims with secondary scams. Criminals leverage detailed victim information to gain trust, demanding “service fees” or luring victims into clicking phishing links. Deepfake technology accounted for 40% of high-value crypto scam cases in 2024.

Public security authorities in Guang’an, Sichuan Province, recently reported that criminals have been promoting the “digital yuan” under the guise of “state endorsement” and “central bank cooperation” at crowded venues such as stadiums, recruiting promoters and collecting personal identity and contact information in suspected fraud schemes. Police reminded the public that the digital yuan is not for speculation, and related red packets can only be obtained through official financial or government channels. The public should remain alert to the risks of personal data leaks and financial losses.

2. Market Health Index Analysis (Source: CoinMarketCap)

Indicator	This Week	WoW Change	Market Signal
Total Crypto Market Cap	$3.82T	↓ 5.45%	Liquidity [Contracting]
24h Trading Volume	$147.78B	↓ 46.21%	Activity [Cooling]
Altcoin Season Index	42	↓ 28 pts	Capital Tilt [Bitcoin]
CMC100 Index	235.55	↓ $13.45	BTC Trend [Bullish]
Fear & Greed Index	45-59 (range)	↓ 22 pts	Sentiment [Neutral]
ETF Net Inflow/Outflow	$0.0932B	↑ $0.0116B	Institutional Funds [Entering]

Source: https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/

Conclusion:

The total market cap shows a volatile pullback, while shrinking trading volume suggests a stock-driven game.

The Altcoin Season Index remains in the 25–85 range, indicating a rotation toward Bitcoin.

Meanwhile, continued ETF inflows and the neutral fear & greed index reflect divided market confidence.

3. Derivatives Funding Rate Monitor (Source: CoinAnk)

BTC 7D Avg Funding Rate: 0.1646% (Positive)

ETH 7D Avg Funding Rate: 0.1751% (Positive)

https://coinank.com/fundingRate/current

Interpretation: Sustained positive funding rates indicate longs dominance, reinforcing bullish expectations.

4. Global Economic and Crypto Sector Developments

Global Macroeconomy

· Aug 17: [Russia-Ukraine peace talks progress] → Impact: [Equities & crypto move in tandem / U.S. dollar index volatility]

· Aug 21: [U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls release] → Result: [Above expectations]

1) On August 16, European leaders issued a joint statement: Russia cannot exercise veto power over Ukraine’s accession to the EU or NATO.

2) On August 17, it was reported that leaders from Germany, France, the UK, Italy, Finland, NATO, and the EU would travel to Washington for the U.S.–Ukraine summit. U.S. President Trump said major progress had been made in talks with Russia, urging close attention.

3) On August 18, the UK July CPI MoM was at 0.1% (exp. -0.1%, prev. 0.30%), supportive for gold, silver, and crypto.

4) On August 19, the UK August Services PMI flashed 53.6 (exp. 51.8, prev. 51.8); Manufacturing PMI flashed 47.3 (exp. 48.3, prev. 48).

5) On August 20, U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending Aug 16 rose to 235K (exp. 225K, prev. 224K), the largest increase in three months; continuing claims climbed to the highest since 2021. U.S. August PMI also beat expectations, bullish for gold, silver, and crypto.

6) On August 21, the Eurozone August Manufacturing PMI flashed 50.5 (exp. 49.5, prev. 49.8).

7) On August 21, the Eurozone Manufacturing PMI returned above the 50 expansion line, a 38-month high. The Services PMI hit a 2-month low, while the Composite PMI reached a 15-month high.

8) On August 22, Trump allies called for a probe into Fed Governor Cook’s mortgage dealings, suggesting possible legal violations. U.S. DOJ officials urged Fed Chair Powell to remove Cook.

9) On August 22, Japan’s July core CPI rose 3.1% year-on-year (vs. 3.0% expected, 3.3% previous), providing support for gold, silver, and crypto.

Cryptocurrency Industry Updates

1) On August 15, BBX: Six publicly listed companies worldwide announced the establishment of an XRP treasury totaling over $1 billion.
2) On August 15, India announced a plan to establish a Bitcoin Policy Research Institute.

3) On August 16, Thailand opened crypto payment options for tourists, allowing foreign visitors to exchange crypto into Thai baht for spending.
4) On August 16, in the UAE, travelers can now use Bitcoin, Ethereum, USDT, and other cryptocurrencies to book flights with Emirates, Travala, and Air Arabia.
5) On August 17, a DeFi Technologies board member stated that crypto will become the UAE’s second-largest industry within five years.
6) On August 18, Renmin University of China Law School hosted an advanced seminar on legal practices related to virtual currencies, stablecoins, and RWAs.
7) On August 18, South Korea’s KB Kookmin Bank, Shinhan Bank, Hana Bank, and Woori Bank accelerated preparations for stablecoin issuance, planning meetings with Circle (issuer of USDC).
8) On August 19, North Korea’s Lazarus Group was accused of stealing $22.8 million in crypto from Lykke, leading to the platform’s collapse.

9) On August 19, South Korea’s National Pension Service doubled its investment in crypto-related equities, with holdings reaching $556.7 million.
10) On August 20, a majority of investors surveyed in Bank of America’s Global Fund Manager Survey reported zero exposure to crypto.

11) On August 20, stablecoin blockchain BenFen launched, supporting gas fee payments in stablecoins and gas-free transfers.

12) On August 21, Donald Trump Jr. said crypto will become the future of finance and a multi-trillion-dollar industry.
13) On August 21, blockchain lending firm Figure publicly filed for an IPO, to be listed on Nasdaq under the ticker FIGR.
14) On August 22, Volkswagen Singapore partnered with FOMO Pay to accept digital currency payments, allowing BTC, ETH, and stablecoins for vehicles and services.
15) On August 22, Wyoming officially launched the first U.S. state-issued stablecoin, FRNT, backed by U.S. dollars and short-term Treasuries, available on Ethereum, Solana, Arbitrum, Avalanche, Polygon, Optimism, and Base. U.S. banking regulators will begin addressing state-level stablecoin regulatory frameworks.
16) On August 22, wealthy Asian investors are limiting crypto exposure to around 5% of their portfolios.

Regulatory Policy Update

· Region: [US / EU / APAC] → [New Legislation Passed / Regulatory Guidance Issued]

· Focus: [Stablecoin Compliance / Tax Policy]

1) On August 15, the SEC Chair stated that all divisions are being mobilized to make the U.S. the global hub for cryptocurrency.

2) On August 15, New York State Democratic Rep. Phil Steck introduced a bill proposing a 0.2% excise tax on crypto transactions.
3) On Aug 16, U.S. Treasury Secretary clarified crypto strategy: no additional Bitcoin purchases for now, but reserve expansion plan not terminated.

4) On August 16, the American Bankers Association and 52 other organizations jointly urged revisions to the Stablecoin Act (GENIUS Act).

5) On August 17, the U.S. Treasury announced it was considering embedding digital identity verification into DeFi protocols.

6) On August 17, in Xiong’an New Area, China completed its first PBoC Digital Currency Bridge multilateral transaction with central SOE relocation projects.

7) On August 18, India’s Central Board of Direct Taxes began talks with domestic crypto exchanges, requiring responses on digital asset-related issues.
8) On August 18, the Fed canceled its special oversight program for crypto businesses. U.S. media interpreted this as easing crypto regulation.

9) On August 19, China’s Henan Provincial Legal Committee noted that the Ministry of Public Security is drafting rules on seized virtual currencies, while deeming local legislation inappropriate.

10) On August 19, Illinois passed the Digital Assets and Consumer Protection Act (SB 1797) and the Digital Assets ATM Act (SB 2319).
11) On August 20, the SEC Chair announced that the agency will immediately implement the President’s crypto recommendations, emphasizing that only a small share of tokens should be classified as securities.
12) On August 20, Hong Kong established a Digital Assets Anti-Money Laundering Committee, with SlowMist, RoundCoin, and others participating.
13) On August 20, South Korean regulators ordered crypto exchanges to halt lending services, while the FSC unveiled plans to submit a stablecoin regulatory bill in October.
14) On August 21, Fed Governor and Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman said the Fed’s stance on AI and crypto is “about to change,” adding support for staff holding small amounts of crypto.
15) On August 21, the U.S. Treasury Secretary said the stablecoin market could grow to $2 trillion, extending global dollar usage and increasing demand for U.S. Treasuries, while the Treasury seeks public input on new measures to combat illicit digital asset activities.
16) On August 22, Acting CFTC Chair Pham launched a new “Crypto Sprint” initiative to advance the Trump administration’s digital asset strategy.
17) On August 22, the UK sanctioned a Kyrgyz bank and Russia-linked crypto networks over a $9.3 billion ruble-backed stablecoin operation.
18) On August 22, Brazil’s Central Bank opposed a Bitcoin reserve strategy, citing volatility risks undermining monetary policy credibility.

5. Market Outlook

Source: BTCUSDT | FameEX

From August 15 to August 21, the medium-term trading strategy will still be applied: for the BTC spot, maintain the sell order at $169,400 and the buy orders at $73,970, $59,935, and $45,900, respectively. It is recommended to place a sell order for the ETH spot at $5,125 and set buy orders for bottom-fishing at $1,240.

6. Risk Alert

1) Macro Risk: Fed policy shift
2) Industry Risk: Regulatory crackdowns
3) Technical Risk: Whale address activity / On-chain gas fee surge

Trading Advice: Keep positions within ≤90% of spot capital, apply dynamic take-profit/stop-loss strategies, use leverage cautiously, and avoid blind chasing of rallies or dips.

Disclaimer: FameEX makes no representations on the accuracy or suitability of any official statements made by the exchange regarding the data in this area or any related financial advice.